Two Weeks of Storms, November
10-24, 1983 a perspective by Wolf Read |
Introduction November, 1983, in general, was stormy. In a pattern typical for windstorm generation, a series of atmospheric waves developed to the southwest of Oregon, raced northeastward, and raked the Pacific Northwest with high winds and rain roughly every 3 to 4 days, starting November 10th. From November 10th to 24th, there were four main events. From my Renton, Washington, perspective, the storms generally grew in strength over those two weeks, with the coup de grace delivered on Thanksgiving day. However, the local effect is pronounced in some of these storms, and this sample of the four windiest storms of November 1983 offers a nice example of the idea that one region's big storm can be another's minor one. Indeed, the storm system of November 10th--the first in the series--may have been the strongest of them all, but it stayed far offshore compared to others, weakening its effects inland. Figure 1, below, shows the daily peak gust at SatTac airport. This clearly shows a gradual progression to stronger windspeeds over the series of storms for the region that was my former home (as the crow flies, my residence was about 5 miles due west of the SeaTac Aiport, at the most). Locations further south that fell under the influence of these storms have different profiles. See Table 7 in the Appendix at the end of this document, for more discussion on the variance typically seen in Pacific cyclone wind speeds. Source: National Climatic Data Center. The November 10, 1983 Storm After enduring a December, January and February that largely weren't interesting wind-wise (save maybe the strong easterly winds of December 23-24), I longingly wrote a few details about the Novermber 1983 storms in my weather journal on February 27, 1984. Here's what I recalled about the November 10th storm: |
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I still remember that trip outside to The Forest--I had decided that being glued to an anemometer every time a storm hit was only part of the fun. Sometimes, I wanted to go out and experience the full force of a Pacific gale. Dawn had just broken, and ragged, low clouds were illuminated a deep blue. I climbed upon the rock berm [the condominum complex was incised into a hill--the rocks held the soil, and The Forest, in place, and this wall of andesite reached about 15' high in spots] in the unusually warm gusts, and stood on the edge of the woodlot as the wind ripped over me. The trees roared in the gale, bending like reeds, and bounced against each other. Branches broke and fell. A piece of dead birch slammed against a carport roof behind me. I jumped, the crash was so loud. Then I heard a tell-tale roaring in the distance, almost a hum: the sound of a gale ripping through miles and miles of powerlines that surrounded the condominum complex. The roar became a scream, and the entire woodlot moved as one. Twigs rained down around me. The gust wrapped itself around me, and pulled hard. It very nearly yanked me off the rocks. I crouched to keep my balance. After the strong blast, I wondered how high it registered on my anemometer. I climbed down and ran home as the trees again roared around me. I couldn't stand the thought of missing any more wind readings! November 10, 1983: Storm Data Table 1, below, lists the peak winds for the November 10, 1983 storm for eleven key stations. Due to a track fairly far offshore, this system generated peak winds with a strong easterly component. Such storms are sometimes called "southeast sucker" type systems. The strongest winds during these storms tend to favor those locations with good exposure to southeast winds, such as Bellingham. Portland and Sea-Tac, which are exposed to easterly "gap" winds, were favored early, as the storm moved up the coast, and their maximum winds were from a southeast to east direction. Many Cascades foothills locations are also subject to these winds, including the Renton Highlands, Enumclaw and North Bend, WA. Arcata had a decent winter storm from this cyclone, with a heavy-rain producing front at the time of maximum winds. Source: Data is from the National Climatic Data Center, unedited surface observation forms. |
Location | Peak |
Direction |
Obs Time of |
Peak |
Direction |
Obs Time of |
California: | ||||||
Arcata | 37 |
220º |
10:26 HRS, 10th |
46 |
210º |
10:27 HRS, 10th |
Oregon: | ||||||
North Bend | 29 |
160º |
13:55 HRS, 10th |
39 |
160º |
13:55 HRS, 10th |
Astoria | 28 |
190º |
21:50 HRS, 10th |
46 |
180º |
20:58 HRS, 10th |
Medford | 31 |
130º |
10:53 HRS, 10th |
47 |
130º |
10:52 HRS, 10th |
Eugene | 17 |
170º |
13:50 HRS, 10th |
31 |
170º |
09:39 HRS, 10th |
Salem | 18 |
170º |
19:50 HRS, 10th |
32 |
180º |
19:34 HRS, 10th |
Portland | 28 |
110º |
03:55 HRS, 16th |
35 |
090º |
04:18 HRS, 10th |
Washington: | ||||||
Quillayute | 23 |
040º |
02:56 HRS, 10th |
52 |
160º |
20:11 HRS, 10th |
Olympia | 22 |
190º |
20:52 HRS, 10th |
33 |
190º |
20:50 HRS, 10th |
Sea-Tac | 22 |
110º |
10:51 HRS, 10th |
36 |
130º |
13:36 HRS, 10th |
Bellingham | 23 |
150º |
23:52 HRS, 10th |
60 |
160º |
23:07 HRS, 10th |
AVERAGE | 25.3 |
149º |
41.5 |
160º |
The November 13, 1983 Storm This storm was missed in the bustle of life, and I have no record of it in my journals. Apparently, it just wasn't exciting enough in Renton to keep me interested. Maybe I was distracted by a role-playing game, or the TV, and didn't notice wind gusts high enough on the anemometer to keep my interest. In terms of tree damage, it apparently wasn't that impressive, probably because the November 10th storm had stripped the trees of most of their weak branches and twigs, as well as the leaves from the deciduous species, making them have less resistance to the wind. November 13, 1983: Storm Data Table 2, below, lists the peak winds for the November 13, 1983 storm for eleven key stations. North Bend's peak gust occurred during a band of heavy rain with imbedded thunderstorms that rolled through between 02:43 and 04:51. Total rain midnight to 03:48 was 0.44". These thunderstorms also generated a peak 1-minute wind of 23 mph. Later in the day, another round of thunderstorms struck, and produced the final peak wind of 23 mph for the day (there were five occurrences on the 13th), with a gust to 38 mph, and a possible funnel cloud north of the station. Arcata had a very similar sequence to North Bend, with the peak gust occurring during early morning thunderstorms, and peak winds during a second round of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Astoria had a thunderstorm at 11:32, which produced southeast winds of 23 mph gusting to 32. Eugene's strong peak gust occurred during a brief heavy rain episode that dumped 0.47" at the station between 05:00 and 06:00--this was probably from the same band of rain that contained North Bend's thunderstorm two hours earlier. The thunderstorms and heavy showers seems to have given this storm its punch. The concentraiton of strongest convection south of Quillayute-to-Seattle seems to have spared a much of Western Washington stronger winds. Source: Data is from the National Climatic Data Center, unedited surface observation forms. |
Location | Peak |
Direction |
Obs Time of |
Peak |
Direction |
Obs Time of |
California: | ||||||
Arcata | 30 |
280º |
13:30 HRS, 13th |
38 |
260º |
04:33 HRS, 13th |
Oregon: | ||||||
North Bend | 23 |
210º |
16:39 HRS, 13th |
46 |
170º |
03:10 HRS, 13th |
Astoria | 35 |
230º |
17:05 HRS, 13th |
55 |
170º |
13:29 HRS, 13th |
Medford | 18 |
140º |
01:50 HRS, 13th |
33 |
140º |
03:26 HRS, 13th |
Eugene | 26 |
170º |
13:01 HRS, 13th |
48 |
180º |
05:04 HRS, 13th |
Salem | 28 |
180º |
06:52 HRS, 13th |
44 |
180º |
06:44 HRS, 13th |
Portland | 31 |
190º |
15:48 HRS, 13th |
39 |
190º |
17:38 HRS, 13th |
Washington: | ||||||
Quillayute | 15 |
230º |
23:29 HRS, 13th |
29 |
140º |
11:27 HRS, 13th |
Olympia | 31 |
190º |
16:56 HRS, 13th |
49 |
190º |
16:55 HRS, 13th |
Seattle | 22 |
220º |
22:34 HRS, 13th |
39 |
180º |
17:30 HRS, 13th |
Bellingham | 17 |
160º |
20:52 HRS, 13th |
30 |
160º |
14:53 HRS, 13th |
AVERAGE | 24.6 |
200º |
40.9 |
178º |
The November 19, 1983 Storm On February 27, 1984, I recalled this storm as happening on Nov 20th, probably because it hit during the night of the 19th. Note the fairly high gust of 43 mph on Nov 20th at the SeaTac in Figure 1 above--the mark of the storm's fading winds in the early morning hours. Interestingly, I felt that it was weaker than the Nov 10th storm, probably for the same reasons cited during the Nov 13th storm: the first event had knocked down most of the tree parts waiting to go. It would take a very significant storm to produce as much tree damage as occurred on November 10th. Here's what I wrote in my journal: |
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If this was the "second" storm this month, then it obviously wasn't the last... November 19, 1983: Storm Data Table 3, below, lists the peak winds for the November 19, 1983 storm for eleven key stations. Astoria's peak winds arrived during a strong pressure surge, with the barometer leaping from 29.12" (986.0 mb) at 18:00 PST to 29.24" (990.2 mb) at 18:50. Judging by the peak wind velocity and direction for Quillayute and Bellingham, this particular cyclone dove ashore in Washington, and passed south of the two northern stations, thus sparing them the strong winds seen in Olympia and Seattle. The low center moved in just north of, if not right over, Hoquiam, where the barometer fell to 29.04" (983.4 mb) by 18:58, and, after a bout of southerly winds, a heavy surge of west to west-northwest winds roared in at 19:31 and quickly escalated to 64 mph in gusts by 19:51. The temperature fell from 51º F at 18:58 to 46º by 19:51, and the pressure surged from 29.08" (984.8 mb) at 19:51 to 29.21" (989.2 mb) at 20:52. It appears that Hoquiam suffered the assault of a strong bent-back occlusion at this time, another sign that it was near the low's center. In terms of path, but not in the strength of the bent-back occlusion, a similar situation to the November 19, 1983 event happened on December 27, 2002, with approximately equivalent wind speeds among all the stations below. For a reference to the journal notation of a 29.10" minimum on my personal barometer during the 1983 storm, the minimum pressure at Sea-Tac was 29.12". Source: Data is from the National Climatic Data Center, unedited surface observation forms. |
Location | Peak |
Direction |
Obs Time of |
Peak |
Direction |
Obs Time of |
California: | ||||||
Arcata | 17 |
270º |
14:52 HRS, 19th |
24 |
240º |
18:50 HRS, 19th |
Oregon: | ||||||
North Bend | 35 |
260º |
16:24 HRS, 19th |
48 |
240º |
16:28 HRS, 19th |
Astoria | 40 |
250º |
18:40 HRS, 19th |
61 |
250º |
18:47 HRS, 19th |
Medford | 14 |
310º |
19:50 HRS, 19th |
20 |
310º |
19:59 HRS, 19th |
Eugene | 29 |
180º |
10:47 HRS, 19th |
39 |
180º |
10:44 HRS, 19th |
Salem | 28 |
210º |
14:38 HRS, 19th |
38 |
180º |
16:38 HRS, 19th |
Portland | 25 |
190º |
17:50 HRS, 19th |
38 |
180º |
18:54 HRS, 19th |
Washington: | ||||||
Quillayute | 13 |
310º |
20:54 HRS, 19th |
25 |
310º |
20:17 HRS, 19th |
Olympia | 25 |
190º |
18:39 HRS, 19th |
44 |
210º |
21:07 HRS, 19th |
Seattle | 29 |
190º |
23:46 HRS, 19th |
47 |
210º |
22:58 HRS, 19th |
Bellingham [1] | 15 |
020º |
19:53 HRS, 19th |
20 |
020º |
19:53 HRS, 19th |
AVERAGE | 24.5 |
216º |
36.7 |
212º |
Table 3 Notes: [1] The wind wasn't strong enough in Bellingham for gust to be noted. A peak was estimated from the maximum 1-minute wind using the standard 1.3 gust factor. |
The Thanksgiving Day 1983 Windstorm For Western Washington, the Thanksgiving Day storm of 1983 was a fairly powerful event. But in sheer wind strength, this storm does not quite match the bigger blows of 1962, 1981, 1993 and 1995. And, indeed, for those who endured the November 10th storm in SW Oregon, they'd probably balk at the idea that the Thanksgiving Storm was the more promenant one of the month. The Thanksgiving Day windstorm stands out sharply in my memory because of the day that it happened. Many Thanksgiving dinners were ruined as electricity quit at hundreds of thousands of households across the Pacific Northwest. Disruption to the power distribution system was so great that power even failed at Wenatchee, where winds were light [1]. Also, it was the only storm of the series to strike in the daylight, making its entire progression visible, instead of being cloaked in the sleepy dark of night. |
Not only did the Thanksgiving Day windstorm get mention in my journal, it also got its own hand-made book. In other words, this storm stood out above all the rest that November. Here's a trimmed-down version of my little "book" (originally written February 28, 1984): |
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The peak gust of 54 mph that I mentioned in the above account for Sea-Tac was actually the peak fastest mile. Sea-Tac had a maximum instant gust of 62 mph. This is considerably higher than the 47 mph that I witnessed on my anemometer, which was located maybe five miles due east of Sea-Tac, at nearly the same site elevation. A peak gust of 64 mph struck the Renton Airport, which was even closer to my location, but down in the Kent Valley. Peak winds were due south, if not a bit to the south-southeast, at the official locations. Trees, a small hill and a two story building stretched south and southeast of my wind sensor, and probably contributed to slowing the wind at my anemometer site. My clearest vantage was south-southwest to west. Of course, I missed a fairly large window of wind readings--probably 30 to 45 minutes, during the peak wind times at the official locations. I left after 10:30 and didn't get home until about 11:45. Below is a copy of Renton's surface observation form. Times on the form are in GMT, which is +8 hours from PST. Renton's peak gust of 56 knots (64 mph) happened at or before 19:45 GMT, or 11:45 PST (wind speeds are in the middle of the form; the first number represents direction times ten in degrees, the next is a 1-minute average in knots and the final is gust in knots). Sea-Tac's peak was at 11:02. Note the peak 1-minute wind of 41 knots (47 mph) at 12:45 PST for the Renton Airport--that sustained reading was equivalent to the peak gust that I observed on my own anemometer! |
Some Photographs of Thanksgiving Day 1983 Windstorm Tree Damage The photo to the left shows a red alder tree, Alnus rubra, from the Power Lines region that lost its top in the gale. This was a healthy tree. In a manner not atypical of alders, when this tree broke, a large, pointed chuck sheared from of both the top and bottom sections, then speared the ground--or, quite possibly, the top struck the ground with such force that it caused its pointed end to shear off. The spear was so firmly planted in the ground that I couldn't remove it. This chunk, or "alder spear" as I often called them, is depicted in the photo below. I've seen these spears a number of times--alders broke similarly in the December 22, 1982 storm (which one day will be detailed on this website), and the January 16, 1986 windstorm (in the latter case, the poor tree produced two chunks!), for instance. I suspect the creation of these spears must be a product of the nature of alder wood, for I have not seen the development of these spears in birch, cottonwood, nor any of the softwoods. It occasionally happens to bigleaf maples. The photo at the lower right shows a broken scouler willow, Salix scoulerana, from the same woodlot in the Power Lines as the broken alder. Other nearby woodlots had no damage. It is not too unusual to find broken trees concentrated in small regions, with little damage between. Whether this is due to localized higher wind speeds, less obstructed wind exposure, or a general weakness of the trees in one spot due to disease or insect attack, I haven't determined. Though, it is conceivable that all three of these ideas, and probably others, each play a role in different storms. I'll write more about this when I cover the tree damage from the January 1986 train of storms, for these systems produced some of the most striking examples of damage localization I have seen, save maybe for the December 28,1990 northerly gale in the Puget Lowlands (which will also deal with this topic). |
General Storm Data Minimum Pressures and Maximum Gradients Table 4, below, lists the lowet barometric pressures achieved during the Thanksgiving Day Storm for 11 Pacific Northwest locations. The close association in time of pressure minimums is the signature of a low with a NE motion as it made landfall in Washington. Note that the minimums at Astoria, Olympia, Seattle and Bellingham are lower than those recorded during the great November 14, 1981 windstorm. The 29.08" 11-station average minumum pressure marks a fairly deep system. This value is lower than the 29.24" average minimum produced by the Inauguration Day storm of 1993, and the 29.37" average produced by the November 15, 1981 event, two systems that followed similar paths to the Thanksgiving Day gale of 1983. Source: Pressure data is from the National Climatic Data Center, unedited surface observation forms. |
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Table 5, below, lists the maximum pressure gradients achieved during the Thanksgiving Day Storm for 10 Pacific Northwest measures. These are all strong readings, but none are records. Gradients across Washington generally peaked several hours after pressure minimums, which generally resulted in a surge of strong winds long after the initial frontal passage as described in my above anecdote. The EUG-PDX gradient of +10.0 mb (+0.30") is one of the strongest in history, but falls short of the +13.7 mb (+0.40") produced by the cyclone of October 2, 1967, the +11.4 mb (+0.34") value from the January 10-11, 1988 storm, +10.5 mb (+0.31") from the December 22, 1955 cyclone, and the +10.3 mb (+0.305") gradient achieved during the December 15, 1977 windstorm. Source: Pressure gradient data is calculated from hourly readings obtained from the National Climatic Data Center, unedited surface observation forms. |
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Pressure Tendencies Table 6, below, lists the maximum hourly pressure falls and rises achieved during the 1983 Thanksgiving Day storm for 11 Pacific Northwest stations. The +4.4 mb (+0.13") 11-station-average peak hourly climb is among the highest ever for the 1950-to-present era. Only the December 20, 1961 windstorm with an average max climb of +4.6 mb (+0.14") and the Columbus Day Storm of 1962 with +6.2 mb (+0.18") have produced values that are higher. The December 12, 1995 windstorm equalled the average peak climb for the 1983 storm. Despite the strong pressure surges during the storm across the region, the leading pressure declensions weren't particularly noteworthy. The -2.3 mb (-0.07") average maximum drop for the Thanksgiving Day storm has been exceeded by many in history. This is different from the earlier storms with extreme pressure climbs--both the December 20, 1961 and Columbus Day Storm had strong pressure drops coupled with the extreme climbs that would follow, as did the December 12, 1995 event. The 1983 storm is a case where the leading pressure tendencies weren't a good indicator of what would follow when pressures began to climb. Source: Pressure tendency data is calculated from hourly readings obtained from the National Climatic Data Center, unedited surface observation forms. |
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Table 6 Notes: [1] The -2.4 mb hourly fall at Quillayute was the last of two occurrences, the other instance having occurred the hour before. [2] The -1.7 mb hourly fall at Bellingham was the last of three occurrences, the other instances having occurred during the two hours before. |
Peak Wind and Gust Table 7, below, lists the peak winds for the Thanksgiving Day storm for eleven key stations. After reaching a barometric minimum of 28.80" (975.3 mb) at 08:05 PST, Astoria's pressure surged to 28.99" (981.7 mb) by 08:50--that's a 0.19" (6.4 mb) jump in 45 minutes! Peak winds occurred during that pressure climb. In fact, there was an excellent pressure couplet during this storm, with fast 0.10"-0.18" (3.5-6.0 mb) hourly jumps across Western Oregon. A strong pressure surge even struck far south at Medford, which had a 0.12" (3.9 mb) jump between 05:50 to 06:50, and Arcata which had a 0.11" (3.7 mb) climb between 04:55 and 05:50. The strong couplet also reached into Southwest Washington, with Olympia showing a jump from 28.96" (980.7 mb) at 09:48 to 29.08" (984.7 mb) at 10:46. The barometric climb at Sea-Tac was lower, but still fairly fast with a peak 0.07" (2.5 mb) climb between 11:45 and 12:48. Bellingham appears to have been swept by the cyclone's bent-back occlusion, with a sharp barometric jump from 29.03" (983.0 mb) at 14:52 to 29.18" (988.2 mb) at 15:53 accompanied by a surge of southwest to west winds and a temperature drop from 46º F to 41º in the same time period. Hoquiam, simply, was slammed by the bent-back occlusion--it's second such assault in five days. In fact, with a barometric minimum of 28.78" (974.6 mb) at 08:50, lower than the minimums at the other coastal stations in the area (see table below), it seems that the low center passed very close to Hoquiam, just to the north. At 09:50, winds took a brief excursion from the pre-storm easterlies to south at 32 mph gusting to 54 with a barometer that was gradually rising at 28.81" (975.6 mb). Then, by the 10:53 observation, winds had shifted to just south of west-southwest (240º) at 46 mph gusting to 66, with a screaming peak gust of 81 mph at 10:34. The barometer had leaped to 29.03" (983.1 mb) by the 10:53 observation time, a +0.22" (+7.5 mb) climb in one hour! Now that's a bent-back attack! For many locations, wind speeds were decidedly stronger during this storm than the previous three, and the averages reflect this. The average peak gust of 49.9 mph for the eleven stations puts the storm right in the middle of what I term a moderate event (45.0 to 54.9 mph). Had the low not undercut Quillayute, which significantly reduced the wind speeds at that location, and had it been closer to the southern stations (with a more northerly track close to the coast, like the big sou'westers), this storm would probably have gotten close to the major (55.0+) category. For this Puget Lowlands, and the South Washington Coast, the Thanksgiving Day strom was clearly among the most powerful of the decade. Source: Data is from the National Climatic Data Center, unedited surface observation forms. |
Location | Peak |
Direction |
Obs Time of |
Peak |
Direction |
Obs Time of |
California: | ||||||
Arcata | 25 |
190º |
04:19 HRS, 24th |
32 |
200º |
04:55 HRS, 24th |
Oregon: | ||||||
North Bend [1] | 29 |
250º |
07:52 HRS, 24th |
48 |
270º |
05:40 HRS, 24th |
Astoria | 37 |
220º |
08:26 HRS, 24th |
62 |
220º |
08:30 HRS, 24th |
Medford | 26 |
130º |
04:47 HRS, 24th |
38 |
130º |
04:52 HRS, 24th |
Eugene | 30 |
230º |
07:14 HRS, 24th |
46 |
170º |
06:17 HRS, 24th |
Salem | 31 |
190º |
06:50 HRS, 24th |
54 |
210º |
07:17 HRS, 24th |
Portland | 29 |
190º |
08:50 HRS, 24th |
46 |
180º |
08:27 HRS, 24th |
Washington: | ||||||
Quillayute | 20 |
300º |
11:57 HRS, 24th |
37 |
310º |
12:12 HRS, 24th |
Olympia | 30 |
190º |
11:53 HRS, 24th |
60 |
180º |
10:37 HRS, 24th |
Seattle | 37 |
180º |
12:15 HRS, 24th |
62 |
180º |
11:02 HRS, 24th |
Bellingham | 35 |
180º |
14:52 HRS, 24th |
64 |
170º |
14:27 HRS, 24th |
AVERAGE | 29.9 |
205º |
49.9 |
202º |
Table 7 Notes: [1] Last of several occurrences for peak wind and gust at North Bend. At 01:58 PST, North Bend showed 29 mph gusting to 48 out of the south (180º). |
November 10-24, 1983: A Comparison of Four Storms Table 8, below, lists the peak gusts for 13 locations in California, Oregon and Washington that occurred during the four principal storms in the series. The highest windspeed out of the series for each location is highlighted in bold. This chart is an example of the difficulty in depicting just what is the most powerful windstorm when comparing different events. Windstorms tend to produce localized results, and therefore few storms in history are clear-cut winners. For the November 1983 series of Pacific cyclones, a person living in Eugene could claim November 13 as the "big one," but someone in San Francisco might make a similar claim for November 10, and for a Seattleite, it would probably be November 24. In terms of averages and number of locations that recorded the highest gust in the series, November 24, or the Thanksgiving Day Storm, is the winner, but not by a huge margin over the tempest of November 13. Upon a cursory glance, the storm of November 19 may seem like a clear loser, but when some locations are examined closely, like Astoria and SeaTac, it becomes apparent that, for a few spots at least, this cyclone was no slouch. Source: all wind data is from the National Climatic Data Center. |
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References [1] A power outage was noted on the surface observaiton form for Pangborn Field, Wenatchee. |
Last Modified: May 8, 2003 You can reach Wolf via e-mail by clicking here. | Back | |